by Wayne Simmes:
We have heard it for months now. The Democrats are going to retake the House of Representatives this fall and may even retake the Senate. The latter seems doubtful since so many more Democrats than Republicans have to defend their seats in the Senate.
Now there is a precedent for a “blue wave” happening this fall. More often than not the party in power loses seats in Congress during the first midterm election of a new presidency. I think the reason for that is that it is difficult for a newly elected President Trump to get much accomplished in his first two years. Perhaps the reason for that is that there is a learning curve that newly elected people have to go through.
And added to that dynamic is that the American people are not, as a rule, a patient bunch. When do we want something? We want it now. That may be why fast food restaurants and drive-through lanes are so popular. Little Caesar’s Pizza has capitalized on this phenomenon with its “hot and ready” campaign. You don’t even have to pick up the phone and order your pizza. Just stop in at a location, go into the store, pay for your pie and walk out with it.
If we cannot even wait a few minutes to get our food why should we wait for three or four years for what a candidate promised us while they were running for office?
And just a short time ago, the polls had the Democrats with a double-digit lead when asked who the person would vote for this fall. There are a couple of things wrong with looking at those polls. First, we are way too far out from this fall’s elections and just as the American people have little patience, they also are fickle. They change their minds at the drop of a hat.
And secondly, polls have been proven to be far from accurate. This was shown in the 2016 Presidential Election. A few days before the voting booths opened for business, Hillary Clinton had a double-digit lead. She was so confident that she would be the next President that she did not even bother to visit several key states.
And we know how that worked out for her. Trump won by an electoral landslide, although Clinton did managed to get enough Illegal Immigrant and dead people votes to win the popular vote.
As of yesterday, the Democrat lead in one poll had slipped to 6 percentage points and in another was a tossup. But again It is far too early to be worrying about the polls. What we should be worried about is the type of candidates that the Republican Party is offering up for this fall’s elections.
We saw in one special election in Alabama that you cannot count on the electorate voting as they have in the past. Whether you believe that Roy Moore was a pervert or believe that he was wrongly accused it is obvious that he was the wrong choice if the Republicans wanted to hold onto that Senate seat.
In the West Virginia Primary for Senate, It appeared that the Republicans had learned a lesson from the Alabama fiasco. One candidate Don Blankenship had so much baggage that the Republicans gave him almost no votes in the primary. In fact, in a three-way race, he finished third. And that should have been the end of it. Blankenship should have accepted the will of the people and bowed out gracefully. But that was not what happened. He is now going to run for the seat as an Independent even though that means that he will probably take enough votes away from the Republican so that the Democrat holds onto that seat. If he could not even get a second place finish in the primary how does he expect to win in the General Election? I imagine that he doesn’t believe he can win but he is so vindictive that he wants to spoil the party for the other Republican.
This is the type of thing that we Republicans must be wary of. Rather than accepting a “blue wave” we need to expand our margin in both houses so that everything that our President has accomplished does not get overturned.
And remember that many Democrats are calling for the impeachment of a duly elected President. If they gain a majority in the House or even are close to a majority there is little doubt that they will try to impeach President Trump. Remember that for impeachment to proceed all that is needed is a simple majority of the House of Representatives.
Removing the President would be less likely as it takes a two-thirds majority in the Senate but the safest road would be to make sure that Fancy Nancy does not become Speaker of the House.
And remember also that there are several Supreme Court Justices that could well retire in the near future if, in fact, they don’t die in office. If we lose control of the Senate, President Trump will have no chance of getting a conservative Justice appointed to the highest court in the land. If we lose the conservative majority in the Court, the second amendment is in dire jeopardy and there is no chance that our unborn babies will have additional protections.
There is perhaps as much at stake this fall as there was in the fall of 2016, as everything that has been accomplished since that time could be taken away. President Trump has accomplished a lot but there is still much work to do. Do not sit on your laurels. If there is a primary in your State, get out and vote for the very best Republican candidate. And when November rolls around make sure that you vote for the candidate that supports Trump’s agenda.
If we all do our part, the “blue wave” will turn out to be a “red storm”.